June 25, 2025
W. Andrew Stoner

Am I Doomed Without the Magnificent 7?

Should investors place so much faith – and capital – in such a concentrated slice of the market?

In the modern investing landscape, few narratives have captured the public’s attention as powerfully as the rise of the “Magnificent Seven” – Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia. These tech giants now represent roughly a third of the S&P 500, shouldering a significant share of the index’s recent gains.2 But as we look to the future, a pressing question emerges: should investors place so much faith – and capital – in such a concentrated slice of the market?

For investors using strategies like those of Inspire ETFs, which intentionally avoid companies that fail to align with biblical values, the absence of the Mag 7 might seem like a significant disadvantage. After all, these seven giants have been among the market's primary growth drivers in recent years. Yet, history and recent market data suggest a different perspective – one where diversified, values-based investing can still yield competitive returns.1,3,4

A Cautionary Tale from the Past: The Nifty Fifty

Market history is full of cautionary tales about the risks of over-concentration. In the 1960s and early 1970s, the “Nifty Fifty” – a group of blue-chip stocks like Polaroid, Xerox, and Eastman Kodak – were once considered “must-own” investments. They were seen as industry-defining companies with seemingly unassailable business models.

However, many of these former giants were eventually toppled by technological disruption, mismanagement, or changing consumer tastes. Xerox, once synonymous with office innovation, struggled through decades of restructuring. Polaroid went bankrupt – twice. Kodak, despite pioneering digital photography, failed to adapt to the digital era and paid a heavy price.

The lesson here is clear: even the most dominant companies can lose their edge. Figure 1 illustrates this point by tracking the turnover among the top 10 largest companies in the S&P 500 since 1985, highlighting the transient nature of market leadership.2

Figure 1 – Source: Goldman Sachs, American Enterprise Institute, as of December 31, 2024; https://www.voronoiapp.com/markets/The-10-Largest-SP-500-Companies-From-1985-to-2024--4655

Recent Performance: A Timely Reminder

This year’s market performance serves as a timely reminder of the potential pitfalls of over-relying on the Mag 7. Despite their dominant market positions, several of these tech giants have fallen short of expectations, facing headwinds like regulatory scrutiny, stretched valuations, and slowing growth. As a result, the market-cap-weighted S&P 500 has underperformed more diversified benchmarks, including the Equal-Weighted S&P 500 and Inspire’s own large-cap ETFs – Inspire 500 ETF (PTL) and Inspire 100 ETF (BIBL) – both of which are currently outpacing the S&P 500.1,3

Figure 2 - Performance data reflects net-of-fee returns for the periods ending May 31, 2025.
*The since inception comparison period (March 25, 2024 – May 31, 2025) represents the full available performance history for the Inspire 500 ETF (PTL), which launched on March 25, 2024. For consistency, all funds shown in that column are evaluated over that same date range. Longer-term comparisons are not shown because PTL does not yet have a full 5- or 10-year history.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Data sourced from Bloomberg.
The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (S&P 500 EWI) is an equity benchmark that includes the same 500 companies as the S&P 500 Index but assigns each company an equal weighting rather than weighting by market capitalization. The index is rebalanced quarterly and is designed to provide a more balanced representation of the performance of the constituents by minimizing the impact of large-cap stocks.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The performance data quoted here represents past performance. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted above. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate, so that shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. For performance data current to the most recent month end, standardized performance, and current holdings for Inspire 500 ETF (PTL) and Inspire 100 ETF (BIBL) visit https://www.inspireetf.com/. For data related to Bloomberg Magnificent 7 Total Return Index, S&P 500 Index, and S&P 500 Equal Weighted Index please visit https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/BM7T:IND, https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/indices/equity/sp-500/#overview, and https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/indices/equity/sp-500-equal-weight-index/#overview respectively.

This divergence serves as a reminder that diversification matters. When a handful of companies account for approximately a third of an index’s weight, investors face an outsized risk from any single downturn or disruption.

Conclusion: Beyond the Mag 7

While the Mag 7 may continue to play a significant role in the market, history suggests that no group of companies maintains dominance indefinitely. Excluding these companies due to a values-based investing approach doesn’t doom investors to underperformance. Instead, it may offer long-term advantages when market conditions shift, rewarding those who choose a broader, more diversified path.

Important Risk Information

Advisory services are offered through Inspire Investing, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser with the SEC. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice and are provided for informational purposes only. Nothing in this article should be construed as an offer, solicitation, recommendation, or endorsement of any particular security, strategy, or investment product. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Inspire Investing integrates biblical principles into its investment philosophy through a Biblically Responsible Investing (BRI) approach. This value-based methodology reflects Inspire's interpretation of Scripture and may not align with the views or beliefs of all investors.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. All performance figures referenced herein are historical and may not reflect current or future market conditions. Actual investor outcomes may vary. There is no assurance that any investment strategy will achieve its objectives or avoid losses.
Information and data referenced in this article may be obtained from third-party sources believed to be reliable but Inspire makes no representation as to their accuracy or completeness. All trademarks and service marks are the property of their respective owners.
Inspire Investing, LLC serves as the investment adviser to certain proprietary ETFs used in Inspire portfolios. Inspire receives management fees from these ETFs, creating a potential conflict of interest. Inspire seeks to mitigate this conflict through policies and procedures that ensure recommendations are made in clients' best interests and consistent with their unique goals and risk profiles. Additional details can be found in Inspire's Form ADV Part 2A.
Certain statements may include forward-looking information based on current beliefs, expectations, and assumptions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially. Inspire undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.

Investors cannot invest directly in an index and unmanaged index returns do not reflect any fees, expenses or sales charges.

Inspire, the adviser, provides the index for the Inspire Funds to track. The indexes use software that analyzes publicly available data relating to the primary business activities, products and services, philanthropy, legal activities, policies and practices when assigning Inspire Impact Scores to a company. As the Fund may not fully replicate the Index, it is subject to the risk that investment management strategy may not produce the intended results. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

There is no guarantee that the Funds will achieve their objective, generate positive returns, or avoid losses. Before investing, consider the funds’ investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. To obtain a prospectus which contains this and other information, call 877.658.9473, or visit www.inspireetf.com. Read it carefully. The Inspire ETFs are distributed by Foreside Financial Services LLC., Member FINRA.  Inspire and Foreside Financial Services LLC are not affiliated. Copyright © 2025 Inspire. All rights reserved.

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